Sort the 50 states by who won them in the 2024 presidential election and a clear pattern comes out of the price data — the same items cost more, on average, in blue states. The exceptions in both directions are just as clear, and they are in this story too.
Prices as of November 5, 2026 at 53,289 restaurants across 10 chains — 13,420,895 prices in all. Groups are the 2024 presidential result in each state.
The typical basket in the 31 states that voted for Donald Trump costs 0.6% above the national average — essentially the national typical price. In the 19 states that voted for Kamala Harris, plus the District of Columbia, it costs 6.3% above the national average. On the flagship items the gap is wider: a typical Big Mac is $6.70 in blue states and $5.79 in red states (15.7% apart); a typical Whopper is $7.09 against $6.19.
| Group | Average vs national average | Median state | Weighted by restaurants | Typical Big Mac | Typical Whopper |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red — 31 states for Trump | +0.6% | -0.1% | -0.2% | $5.79 | $6.19 |
| Blue — 19 states for Harris, plus DC | +6.3% | +4.7% | +7.3% | $6.70 | $7.09 |
The headline averages weight every state equally; weighting by each state's restaurant count instead moves the figures to 0.2% below the national average (red) and 7.3% above the national average (blue) — the gap does not depend on the weighting. 18 of the 20 blue jurisdictions sit above the national typical price; 15 of 31 red states do. Excluding DC, the blue average is 6.4% above the national average — the conclusion is the same.
The averages hide real texture. The second most expensive state in America is red, and two blue states are cheaper than the national typical price.
| Rank | State | vs national average | Restaurants |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alaska | +20.4% | 65 |
| 11 | Arizona | +5.3% | 1,144 |
| 18 | Kansas | +2.4% | 475 |
| 19 | Florida | +2.2% | 3,818 |
| 20 | Montana | +2.2% | 116 |
Alaska (20.4% above the national average) trails only Hawaii in the whole country — geography and shipping are the standing explanations for both states at the top of any price ranking. Arizona, second here, is also one of the seven swing states below. Florida and Montana tie at 2.2% above the national average, so both are shown.
| Rank | State | vs national average | Restaurants |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | New Mexico | -0.9% | 337 |
| 37 | Maine | -0.3% | 155 |
| 32 | Virginia | +0.2% | 1,697 |
| 25 | Illinois | +1.3% | 2,096 |
New Mexico (0.9% below the national average) and Maine (0.3% below the national average) pay below-typical prices — less than the average red state (0.6% above the national average). At the other end of the red table, Oklahoma (4.8% below the national average), Texas (2.7% below the national average) and Alabama (2.6% below the national average) are the cheapest states in the country of either color.
The seven states both campaigns fought hardest over in 2024 all voted for Trump in the end — and on prices they huddle close to the national typical, averaging 1.3% above the national average.
| Rank | State | vs national average | Restaurants |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Arizona | +5.3% | 1,144 |
| 39 | Georgia | -0.5% | 2,215 |
| 27 | Michigan | +0.7% | 1,584 |
| 24 | Nevada | +1.5% | 436 |
| 45 | North Carolina | -1.5% | 2,062 |
| 22 | Pennsylvania | +1.8% | 1,919 |
| 21 | Wisconsin | +1.9% | 855 |
Arizona is the outlier at 5.3% above the national average; North Carolina (1.5% below the national average) and Georgia (0.5% below the national average) sit just below the typical price. A voter in a swing state pays, on average, about what the country pays.
A state's prices track what it costs to run a restaurant there as much as who governs it, so read the party gap alongside the biggest cost difference between states: the minimum wage. Grouping the same states by wage instead of by party separates the prices just as cleanly.
| Minimum-wage group | States | Average vs national average |
|---|---|---|
| States where the $7.25 federal minimum is the effective rate | 20 | -0.4% |
| States between $7.25 and $12 | 6 | +0.1% |
| States (plus DC) at $12 or more | 25 | +6.2% |
The two groupings overlap heavily — 19 of the 20 federal-floor states are red, and 18 of the 25 high-wage jurisdictions are blue — but they are not the same grouping, and the exceptions cut against any one-cause story both ways. Florida and Arizona are red states with minimum wages of $12 or more and above-typical prices; New Hampshire is a blue state on the federal floor whose prices (2.6% above the national average) run above typical anyway; Maine and New Mexico are blue, high-wage states with below-typical prices.
Two readings fit these numbers, and this dataset cannot separate them. In one, higher wage floors and operating costs in expensive states are passed through into menu prices. In the other, chains price to what each local market bears — the same sandwich costs more where rents and incomes are higher, whoever runs the statehouse. What the data rules out is a story where party alone sets the price: the cheapest blue state undercuts the average red state, and the second-priciest state in America is red.
| Rank | State | 2024 result | vs national average | Restaurants | Typical Big Mac |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawaii | Harris | +31.3% | 192 | $6.99 |
| 2 | Alaska | Trump | +20.4% | 65 | $7.85 |
| 3 | California | Harris | +14.7% | 4,525 | $6.99 |
| 4 | Washington | Harris | +11.9% | 936 | $6.59 |
| 5 | Oregon | Harris | +10.4% | 613 | $6.32 |
| 6 | Connecticut | Harris | +7.6% | 363 | — |
| 7 | New York | Harris | +7.2% | 2,239 | $7.09 |
| 8 | New Jersey | Harris | +7.0% | 1,240 | $6.99 |
| 9 | Colorado | Harris | +5.9% | 960 | $6.59 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | Harris | +5.7% | 155 | $7.19 |
| 11 | Arizona | Trump | +5.3% | 1,144 | $7.29 |
| 12 | Massachusetts | Harris | +4.8% | 992 | $7.19 |
| 13 | District of Columbia | Harris* | +4.6% | 122 | $6.59 |
| 14 | Delaware | Harris | +4.3% | 176 | $6.50 |
| 15 | Vermont | Harris | +3.7% | 49 | $6.99 |
| 16 | Maryland | Harris | +3.0% | 1,145 | $6.59 |
| 17 | New Hampshire | Harris | +2.6% | 199 | $6.99 |
| 18 | Kansas | Trump | +2.4% | 475 | $6.19 |
| 19 | Florida | Trump | +2.2% | 3,818 | $6.09 |
| 20 | Montana | Trump | +2.2% | 116 | $6.25 |
| 21 | Wisconsin | Trump | +1.9% | 855 | $5.79 |
| 22 | Pennsylvania | Trump | +1.8% | 1,919 | $6.49 |
| 23 | Minnesota | Harris | +1.7% | 798 | $5.99 |
| 24 | Nevada | Trump | +1.5% | 436 | $6.59 |
| 25 | Illinois | Harris | +1.3% | 2,096 | $6.19 |
| 26 | Nebraska | Trump | +1.2% | 270 | $6.19 |
| 27 | Michigan | Trump | +0.7% | 1,584 | $6.29 |
| 28 | Wyoming | Trump | +0.6% | 57 | $5.99 |
| 29 | Missouri | Trump | +0.4% | 1,077 | $5.79 |
| 30 | Iowa | Trump | +0.3% | 386 | $5.79 |
| 31 | South Dakota | Trump | +0.2% | 102 | $6.29 |
| 32 | Virginia | Harris | +0.2% | 1,697 | $6.39 |
| 33 | North Dakota | Trump | +0.1% | 84 | $5.99 |
| 34 | Idaho | Trump | -0.1% | 251 | $5.79 |
| 35 | Indiana | Trump | -0.2% | 1,457 | $5.59 |
| 36 | Arkansas | Trump | -0.3% | 595 | $5.79 |
| 37 | Maine | Harris | -0.3% | 155 | $6.99 |
| 38 | Utah | Trump | -0.4% | 526 | $5.89 |
| 39 | Georgia | Trump | -0.5% | 2,215 | $5.89 |
| 40 | Tennessee | Trump | -0.5% | 1,474 | $5.59 |
| 41 | Kentucky | Trump | -0.8% | 1,032 | $5.89 |
| 42 | Ohio | Trump | -0.8% | 2,639 | $5.79 |
| 43 | New Mexico | Harris | -0.9% | 337 | $6.19 |
| 44 | Mississippi | Trump | -1.2% | 582 | $5.59 |
| 45 | North Carolina | Trump | -1.5% | 2,062 | $5.59 |
| 46 | South Carolina | Trump | -1.5% | 1,030 | $5.89 |
| 47 | Louisiana | Trump | -1.8% | 945 | $5.39 |
| 48 | West Virginia | Trump | -2.2% | 419 | $5.59 |
| 49 | Alabama | Trump | -2.6% | 1,015 | $5.59 |
| 50 | Texas | Trump | -2.7% | 5,021 | $5.19 |
| 51 | Oklahoma | Trump | -4.8% | 649 | $5.49 |
*The District of Columbia is counted with the blue group, as explained below. Big Mac figures are each state's typical (median) price for the sandwich itself.